Justification of Wold’s Theorem and the Unbiasedness of a Stable Vector Autoregressive Time Series Model Forecasts


  •  Iberedem Iwok    

Abstract

In this work, the multivariate analogue to the univariate Wold’s theorem for a purely non-deterministic stable vector time series process was presented and justified using the method of undetermined coefficients. By this method, a finite vector autoregressive process of order  [] was represented as an infinite vector moving average () process which was found to be the same as the Wold’s representation. Thus, obtaining the properties of a  process is equivalent to obtaining the properties of an infinite  process. The proof of the unbiasedness of forecasts followed immediately based on the fact that a stable VAR process can be represented as an infinite VEMA process.



This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
  • ISSN(Print): 1927-7032
  • ISSN(Online): 1927-7040
  • Started: 2012
  • Frequency: bimonthly

Journal Metrics

  • h-index (December 2021): 20
  • i10-index (December 2021): 51
  • h5-index (December 2021): N/A
  • h5-median(December 2021): N/A

( The data was calculated based on Google Scholar Citations. Click Here to Learn More. )

Contact