Shock and Volatility Spillovers between Oil Prices and Turkish Sector Returns


  •  Hatice Gencer    
  •  Sercan Demiralay    

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to examine the shock and volatility spillovers between the oil market and five sectors in the Turkish equity market. We conduct a bivariate GARCH model to simultaneously estimate the mean and conditional variances between the series. We investigate daily returns from January 4, 2005 to June 12, 2013 and report significant unidirectional volatility transmission from oil market to all the sectors under investigation in addition to significant unidirectional shock transmission from oil market to some of the sectors. Our findings are suggestive for a deeper understanding of portfolio risk management in the presence of oil price fluctuations.

 



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